Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?" at 2.7%. Down 0.7%p from yesterday. $923 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
0.73%
PoliticsVol $923Total volume $162KLiquidity $21KComments 15in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
2.70%
0.7

Probability over time

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.