Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Polymarket traders put "Javier Milei" at 47.5% on "Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner". $403 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 18 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 25.

Most likely right now
Javier Milei
–48%
PoliticsVol $403Total volume $403Liquidity $20Kin 1.1 years (Oct 25)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Javier Milei
47.5%
–
Axel Kicillof
36.0%
–
Victoria Villarruel
21.5%
–
Nicolás del Caño
20.8%
–
Esteban Bullrich
18.3%
–
Sergio Massa
10.0%
–
Facundo Manes
3.95%
–
Mauricio Macri
3.95%
–
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner
3.95%
–
Guillermo Moreno
3.95%
–
Juan Grabois
3.90%
–
Myriam Bregman
3.90%
–
Karina Milei
3.90%
–
Patricia Bullrich
3.85%
–
Daniel Hadad
3.75%
–
Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro
3.75%
–
Juan Schiaretti
3.70%
–
Dante Gebel
3.65%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.