Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Most likely right now
Javier Milei
53%
PoliticsVol $2.0KTotal volume $550KLiquidity $168KComments 47in 1.2 years (Oct 24)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Javier Milei
52.5%
Axel Kicillof
40.5%
1.5
Sergio Massa
7.15%
Mauricio Macri
0.55%
Dante Gebel
0.55%
Myriam Bregman
0.40%
Juan Grabois
0.35%
Esteban Bullrich
0.25%
Victoria Villarruel
0.25%
Juan Schiaretti
0.15%
Facundo Manes
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.