Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Democrat" at 83.5% on "Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat
▼0.584%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $3.7KLiquidity $46Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat
83.5%
▼0.5
Republican
16.0%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Democrat
Republican
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.