Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
Polymarket traders put "35+" at 39.5% on "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?". $219 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
35+
–40%
PoliticsVol $219Total volume $219Liquidity $504in 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
35+
39.5%
–
<20
22.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
