Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
Polymarket traders put "20-24" at 35.0% on "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?". Up 10.0%p from yesterday. $444 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
20-24
▲10.035%
PoliticsVol $444Total volume $444Liquidity $1.6Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
20-24
35.0%
▲10.0
25-29
29.5%
▲4.5
<20
18.5%
▼7.0
30-34
9.00%
▼16.0
35+
5.50%
▼19.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
