Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?
Polymarket traders put "0-4" at 27.5% on "Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
0-4
–28%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $52Kin 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
0-4
27.5%
–
15-19
24.0%
–
5-9
23.0%
–
20-24
22.5%
–
25-29
11.5%
–
30+
11.5%
–
10-14
10.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
