Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
Polymarket traders put "0-5" at 56.5% on "Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?". Up 31.0%p from yesterday. $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
0-5
▲31.056%
PoliticsVol $2.0KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $5.6Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
0-5
56.5%
▲31.0
5-10
23.5%
▼2.0
10-15
15.5%
▼10.0
15-20
4.50%
▼21.0
30+
4.50%
▼21.0
25-30
4.00%
▼21.5
20-25
0.35%
▼25.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
