AWS service disrupted by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 36.5% on "AWS service disrupted by...?". Up 19.0%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▲19.037%
TechVol $20Total volume $18KLiquidity $63in 24 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
36.5%
▲19.0
September 30
9.00%
–

Probability over time

October 31
September 30
025507510010/210/1210/1910/2410/2911/311/7
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-11-07 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.