AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50%+" at 26.5% on "AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50%+
▼1.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $219Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50%+
26.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-10%
25.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 40-45%
24.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 10-20%
24.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 30-35%
24.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 20-25%
19.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 45-50%
18.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 35-40%
15.5%
▼13.0
Democrat 25-30%
15.0%
▼8.0
Republican Wins
3.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50%+
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 10-20%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
