AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 31.5% on "AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▼0.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $162Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
31.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 35-40%
31.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 20-25%
17.6%
▲9.3
Democrat 25-30%
15.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 40-45%
14.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
2.95%
▼3.1
Democrat 50%+
0.55%
–
Democrat 10-20%
0.15%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
