Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
–18%
PoliticsVol $68KTotal volume $11.1MLiquidity $531KComments 249in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
17.5%
–
October 31
11.0%
–
September 30
6.50%
–
September 15
3.30%
▼0.7
August 31
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
