Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?

Polymarket traders put "163+" at 44.0% on "Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?". Up 21.0%p from yesterday. $6.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
163+
21.044%
PoliticsVol $6.2KTotal volume $6.2KLiquidity $54Kin 4 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
163+
44.0%
21.0
158–162
19.5%
1.0
153–157
14.0%
6.0
143–147
13.5%
2.0
<143
10.0%
11.5
148–152
5.50%
27.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.