Berlin State Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Linke 2-5%" at 32.5% on "Berlin State Election Vote Share Margin of Victory". $507 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.
Most likely right now
Linke 2-5%
–33%
PoliticsVol $507Total volume $507Liquidity $50Kin 4 days (Sep 20)
Current probability
Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Linke 2-5%
32.5%
–
Linke 0-2%
31.5%
–
CDU 0-2%
17.5%
–
CDU 2-5%
16.5%
–
Linke 5-10%
14.0%
–
CDU 5-10%
6.50%
–
Linke 10%+
3.65%
–
AfD 2-5%
2.35%
–
AfD 5%+
2.35%
–
AfD 0-2%
2.30%
–
CDU 10%+
2.15%
–
Another party wins
2.10%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
