Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "25-29" at 40.5% on "Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
25-29
41%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $6.7KLiquidity $20Kin 26 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25-29
40.5%
30-34
21.5%
9.5
45+
21.5%
2.0
35-39
7.00%
0.5
20-24
5.50%
2.0
40-44
3.30%
<20
0.95%
9.4

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.