Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "SDA" at 82.5% on "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner". Up 40.0%p from yesterday. $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
SDA
40.083%
PoliticsVol $2.3KTotal volume $2.3KLiquidity $4.5Kin 24 days (Oct 4)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
SDA
82.5%
40.0
DF
8.50%
18.5
SDS
6.70%
18.3
HDZ BiH
6.05%
20.9
SNSD
5.00%
20.0
NiP
4.45%
19.6
SDP BiH
1.15%
24.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.