Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Flávio Bolsonaro <4%" at 53.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $5.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.
Most likely right now
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
–53%
PoliticsVol $5.3KTotal volume $5.3KLiquidity $106Kin 20 days (Oct 26)
Current probability
Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
53.0%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%
28.5%
–
Lula da Silva <4%
13.0%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+
7.00%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%
4.05%
–
Lula da Silva 4-8%
2.75%
–
Lula da Silva 12%+
0.60%
–
Lula da Silva 8-12%
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
