Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 96.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas". Up 1.4%p from yesterday. $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Lula
▲1.496%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $137Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lula
96.0%
▲1.4
Flavio Bolsonaro
2.45%
–
Zema
0.30%
–
Clariana Barao
0.20%
–
Hertz Dias
0.20%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.15%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.15%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.15%
–
Renan Santos
0.15%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.15%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.15%
–
Samara
0.15%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Lula
Flavio Bolsonaro
Zema
Clariana Barao
Hertz Dias
Edmilson Costa
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
