Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 65.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá". $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Lula
–65%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $7.1KLiquidity $95Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lula
65.0%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
26.0%
▼0.5
Hertz Dias
4.90%
▼9.8
Pablo Marçal
3.25%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
2.75%
▼0.7
Clariana Barao
0.70%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.70%
–
Renan Santos
0.50%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.15%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.15%
–
Samara
0.15%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.15%
–
Zema
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Lula
Flavio Bolsonaro
Hertz Dias
Pablo Marçal
Rui Costa Pimenta
Clariana Barao
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
