Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia
Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 97.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia". Down 0.7%p from yesterday. $149 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Lula
▼0.797%
PoliticsVol $149Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $112Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lula
97.0%
▼0.7
Flavio Bolsonaro
1.10%
–
Clariana Barao
0.15%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.15%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.15%
–
Hertz Dias
0.15%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.15%
–
Renan Santos
0.15%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.15%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.15%
–
Samara
0.15%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.15%
–
Zema
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Lula
Flavio Bolsonaro
Clariana Barao
Edmilson Costa
Escritor Augusto Cury
Hertz Dias
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
