Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
Polymarket traders put "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 87.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo". $281 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
–87%
PoliticsVol $281Total volume $14KLiquidity $129Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
87.0%
–
Lula
7.95%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
3.50%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.75%
–
Clariana Barao
0.70%
–
Hertz Dias
0.60%
–
Renan Santos
0.60%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.60%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.55%
–
Zema
0.15%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.05%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.05%
–
Samara
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Flavio Bolsonaro
Lula
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
Edmilson Costa
Clariana Barao
Hertz Dias
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
