Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 95.9% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão". There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Lula
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.2KLiquidity $127Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lula
95.9%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
1.10%
–
Clariana Barao
0.50%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.30%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.30%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.15%
–
Hertz Dias
0.15%
–
Renan Santos
0.05%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.05%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.05%
–
Samara
0.05%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.05%
–
Zema
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
