Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 87.5% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais". There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Lula
–88%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $12KLiquidity $131Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lula
87.5%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
13.0%
▲0.8
Zema
0.50%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.15%
–
Clariana Barao
0.05%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.05%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.05%
–
Hertz Dias
0.05%
–
Renan Santos
0.05%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.05%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.05%
–
Samara
0.05%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
