Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 95.5% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba". Up 0.6%p from yesterday. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
Lula
0.696%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.4KLiquidity $116Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
95.5%
0.6
Clariana Barao
0.60%
Edmilson Costa
0.60%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.60%
Flavio Bolsonaro
0.60%
Hertz Dias
0.60%
Renan Santos
0.60%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.60%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.60%
Samara
0.60%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.60%
Zema
0.60%
Pablo Marçal
0.55%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.