Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
Polymarket traders put "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 94.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná". $480 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
–94%
PoliticsVol $480Total volume $7.7KLiquidity $138Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
94.0%
–
Lula
5.40%
–
Renan Santos
1.30%
▲0.6
Hertz Dias
0.35%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.35%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.25%
–
Clariana Barao
0.15%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.15%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.15%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.15%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.15%
–
Samara
0.15%
–
Zema
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Flavio Bolsonaro
Lula
Renan Santos
Hertz Dias
Pablo Marçal
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
