Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 95.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte". There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
Lula
95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $6.3KLiquidity $116Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
95.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro
0.55%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.55%
Samara
0.55%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.55%
Clariana Barao
0.50%
Edmilson Costa
0.50%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.50%
Hertz Dias
0.50%
Pablo Marçal
0.50%
Renan Santos
0.50%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.50%
Zema
0.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.