Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

Polymarket traders put "2-4%" at 40.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?". $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
2-4%
40%
PoliticsVol $2.3KTotal volume $2.3KLiquidity $18Kin 18 days (Oct 5)
Current probability

Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
2-4%
40.0%
4-6%
31.0%
8%+
23.0%
6-8%
20.5%
<2%
7.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.