Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%" at 22.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory". $4.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 14 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.
Most likely right now
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%
–22%
PoliticsVol $4.3KTotal volume $4.3KLiquidity $156Kin 5 days (Oct 26)
Current probability
Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%
22.0%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%
20.0%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro <2%
20.0%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10%
11.0%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8%
9.50%
–
Lula da Silva <2%
9.00%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12%
6.00%
–
Lula da Silva 2-4%
5.00%
–
Lula da Silva 6-8%
2.95%
–
Lula da Silva 4-6%
2.70%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+
2.55%
–
Lula da Silva 8-10%
2.15%
–
Lula da Silva 12%+
2.10%
–
Lula da Silva 10-12%
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
