Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City

Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 72.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City". $521 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
Lula
–72%
PoliticsVol $521Total volume $521Liquidity $32Kin 5 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
72.0%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
24.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.