Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Iotova 10-20%" at 36.0% on "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory". Up 26.5%p from yesterday. $702 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 25.
Most likely right now
Iotova 10-20%
▲26.536%
PoliticsVol $702Total volume $702Liquidity $21Kin 1 months (Oct 25)
Current probability
Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Iotova 10-20%
36.0%
▲26.5
Iotova 20-30%
24.0%
▲9.0
Iotova 30-40%
14.0%
▼13.0
Iotova <10%
14.0%
▲4.5
Iotova 40%+
10.5%
▼15.0
Gyurov 10-20%
8.00%
▼2.0
Gyurov 20-30%
6.50%
▼3.5
Gyurov <10%
4.50%
▼5.0
Gyurov 30%+
2.65%
▼9.3
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
