Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Iotova <4%" at 34.0% on "Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $560 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 2.
Most likely right now
Iotova <4%
–34%
PoliticsVol $560Total volume $532Liquidity $13Kin 6 days (Nov 2)
Current probability
Oct 27 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Iotova <4%
34.0%
–
Iotova 4-8%
31.5%
–
Iotova 8-12%
25.5%
–
Gyurov <4%
21.5%
–
Gyurov 4-8%
12.0%
–
Gyurov 12%+
8.00%
–
Gyurov 8-12%
7.00%
–
Iotova 12%+
6.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
