France declares state of emergency by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 15.5% on "France declares state of emergency by...?". $20K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–16%
PoliticsVol $20KTotal volume $20KLiquidity $95Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
15.5%
–
October 31
10.5%
–
October 21
3.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
