CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 38.6% on "CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 8.3%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼8.339%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.8KLiquidity $18Kin 5 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 27 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
38.6%
▼8.3
Democrat 25-30%
37.9%
▼6.2
Democrat 5-10%
37.5%
▼3.8
Democrat 30%+
29.4%
▼14.9
Democrat 15-20%
28.7%
▼7.2
Democrat 20-25%
25.7%
▼4.2
Republican Wins
9.05%
▼32.9
Democrat 0-5%
1.85%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-09-07 ~ 2026-10-27 · y-axis %
