CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 5-10%" at 49.3% on "CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.3%p from yesterday. $560 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 5-10%
▲3.349%
PoliticsVol $560Total volume $560Liquidity $137in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 5-10%
49.3%
▲3.3
Democrat 15-20%
47.8%
▲1.8
Republican Wins
47.1%
▲1.7
Democrat 10-15%
45.1%
–
Democrat 0-5%
42.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 25-30%
42.4%
▲0.9
Democrat 30%+
33.4%
▼10.6
Democrat 20-25%
30.6%
▼7.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
