CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55%+" at 42.7% on "CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. $3.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55%+
▲0.743%
PoliticsVol $3.2KTotal volume $3.2KLiquidity $339in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55%+
42.7%
▲0.7
Democrat 50-55%
42.5%
▲1.6
Democrat 30-35%
42.1%
▲2.6
Democrat 25-30%
42.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 40-45%
40.2%
▲1.2
Democrat 15-25%
38.1%
▼0.9
Republican Wins
37.2%
▼3.8
Democrat 45-50%
36.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 35-40%
26.7%
▼13.4
Democrat 0-15%
26.6%
▼17.9
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
