CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 43.4% on "CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. $25 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲0.743%
PoliticsVol $25Total volume $3.4KLiquidity $2.5Kin 8 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
43.4%
▲0.7
Democrat 25-30%
43.3%
–
Democrat 55%+
43.1%
▲0.7
Democrat 50-55%
42.4%
▼1.8
Democrat 15-25%
38.9%
▲2.1
Democrat 40-45%
38.3%
▲2.1
Democrat 0-15%
37.4%
▲1.4
Democrat 45-50%
36.0%
▲4.8
Democrat 35-40%
8.50%
–
Republican Wins
4.20%
▼19.2
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 15-25%
Democrat 40-45%
2026-09-07 ~ 2026-10-26 · y-axis %
