CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 33.0% on "CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▼4.033%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $6Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
33.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 25-35%
31.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
29.5%
▲25.5
Democrat 55-60%
29.0%
▼5.5
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 25-35%
Republican Wins
Democrat 55-60%
2026-09-12 ~ 2026-09-13 · y-axis %
