CA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60%+" at 37.5% on "CA-17 House Election Margin of Victory". $37 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60%+
–38%
PoliticsVol $37Total volume $586Liquidity $1.8Kin 13 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60%+
37.5%
–
Democrat 55-60%
37.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
37.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
37.5%
–
Democrat 20-30%
37.5%
–
Democrat 0-20%
37.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 45-50%
36.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 30-35%
36.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 50-55%
36.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
25.1%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-30%
Democrat 0-20%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %
