CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 39.0% on "CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▼0.539%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $60Liquidity $4.2Kin 6 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
39.0%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
37.5%
–
Republican 0-5%
37.5%
▲1.0
Republican 45%+
37.0%
▲0.5
Republican 5-15%
37.0%
–
Republican 35-40%
36.5%
▼2.0
Republican 15-20%
35.0%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
28.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
–
Democrat Wins
4.45%
▼4.0
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 45%+
Republican 5-15%
Republican 35-40%
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-28 · y-axis %
