CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 38.5% on "CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $76 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲0.539%
PoliticsVol $76Total volume $76Liquidity $829in 29 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
38.5%
–
Republican 5%+
38.5%
▼0.5
Republican 0-5%
37.0%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Republican 5%+
Republican 0-5%
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-05 · y-axis %
