CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 38.0% on "CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
▼0.538%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $5Liquidity $1.1Kin 27 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
38.0%
–
Republican 15-20%
38.0%
–
Republican 5-10%
38.0%
–
Republican 0-5%
38.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
37.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
37.5%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
35.5%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Republican 30%+
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-07 · y-axis %
