CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 38.5% on "CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–39%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $916in 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
–
Democrat 30%+
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
38.0%
–
Republican Wins
37.4%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 25-30%
Republican Wins
2026-09-29 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
