CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 37.5% on "CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–38%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $85Liquidity $2.3Kin 5 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
37.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
37.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
36.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
34.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 40-45%
33.5%
–
Democrat 5-15%
33.5%
–
Democrat 0-5%
33.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 35-40%
27.5%
–
Democrat 45%+
23.5%
–
Republican Wins
9.20%
▲1.7
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 5-15%
2026-09-12 ~ 2026-10-28 · y-axis %
