CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 39.5% on "CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲1.040%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $50Liquidity $941in 1 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
39.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
–
Republican Wins
38.5%
–
Democrat 30%+
38.0%
–
Democrat 25-30%
38.0%
–
Democrat 0-5%
38.0%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Republican Wins
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
