CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55%+" at 38.0% on "CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55%+
▲0.538%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $50Liquidity $1.5Kin 1 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55%+
38.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 50-55%
38.0%
–
Democrat 40-45%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 30-35%
38.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 45-50%
37.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
37.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
37.5%
–
Democrat 15-25%
37.5%
–
Democrat 0-15%
18.0%
▼20.0
Republican Wins
9.50%
▼29.5
Probability over time
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-01 · y-axis %
