CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30%+" at 38.5% on "CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $38 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30%+
▲1.039%
PoliticsVol $38Total volume $38Liquidity $1.0Kin 27 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30%+
38.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
38.0%
–
Democrat 15-20%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
38.0%
–
Democrat 5-10%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
38.0%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-07 · y-axis %
