CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35%+" at 38.5% on "CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35%+
▲0.539%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $902in 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35%+
38.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 30-35%
38.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
–
Democrat 0-5%
38.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 5-10%
38.0%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
