CA-48 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3%+" at 42.3% on "CA-48 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.8%p from yesterday. $411 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 3%+
▲2.842%
PoliticsVol $411Total volume $411Liquidity $228in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3%+
42.3%
▲2.8
Democrat 0-3%
42.2%
▲1.7
Republican 0-3%
42.2%
▲3.2
Democrat 9-12%
42.1%
▼1.9
Democrat 3-6%
42.1%
▲1.6
Democrat 18-21%
42.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 12-15%
42.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 21%+
41.9%
▲2.9
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
