CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30%+" at 41.5% on "CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.6%p from yesterday. $693 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30%+
▲1.642%
PoliticsVol $693Total volume $693Liquidity $214in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30%+
41.5%
▲1.6
Republican Wins
41.3%
▲1.3
Democrat 15-20%
40.6%
–
Democrat 5-10%
39.3%
–
Democrat 10-15%
39.0%
▼2.1
Democrat 25-30%
37.6%
▼3.9
Democrat 0-5%
35.7%
▼3.3
Democrat 20-25%
35.5%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
