CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory" at 38.0%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican Wins
▼1.538%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $629in 26 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Wins
38.0%
▼1.5

Probability over time

Republican Wins
02550751009/3010/210/510/710/8
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-08 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.