CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 37.0% on "CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory". $85 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–37%
PoliticsVol $85Total volume $281Liquidity $1.6Kin 6 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
37.0%
–
Democrat 15-20%
37.0%
▲32.5
Democrat 25-30%
36.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
36.5%
–
Democrat 10-15%
35.0%
–
Democrat 35-40%
27.5%
–
Democrat 40%+
26.5%
–
Republican Wins
8.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-09-05 ~ 2026-10-28 · y-axis %
