California Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Becerra 25-30%" at 33.4% on "California Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.2%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Becerra 25-30%
▲10.233%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $97Kin 12 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Becerra 25-30%
33.4%
▲10.2
Becerra 20-25%
31.5%
–
Becerra 15-20%
19.5%
▲2.0
Becerra 35-40%
6.40%
▲3.8
Becerra 0-10%
6.35%
▼3.5
Becerra 30-35%
4.85%
–
Hilton Wins
4.35%
▼8.3
Becerra 10-15%
4.25%
–
Becerra 40%+
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Becerra 25-30%
Becerra 20-25%
Becerra 15-20%
Becerra 35-40%
Becerra 0-10%
Becerra 30-35%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %
