California Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Becerra 40%+" at 24.0% on "California Governor Election Margin of Victory". $376 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Becerra 40%+
24%
PoliticsVol $376Total volume $376Liquidity $27Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Becerra 40%+
24.0%
Becerra 10-15%
20.0%
5.5
Hilton Wins
20.0%
5.0
Becerra 20-25%
17.5%
8.0
Becerra 15-20%
12.5%
13.0
Becerra 30-35%
11.0%
5.0
Becerra 0-10%
11.0%
20.0
Becerra 25-30%
9.50%
15.0
Becerra 35-40%
6.00%
15.5

Probability over time

Becerra 40%+
Becerra 10-15%
Hilton Wins
Becerra 20-25%
Becerra 15-20%
Becerra 30-35%
02550751009/49/59/6
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-06 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.