California voter ID referendum passes?
Polymarket traders put "California voter ID referendum passes?" at 53.0%. Up 4.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
California voter ID referendum passes?
▲4.053%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $10KLiquidity $176in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
California voter ID referendum passes?
53.0%
▲4.0
Probability over time
California voter ID referendum passes?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
